Lead, coordinate source more wind power and photovoltaic power generation into the power supply main body

Power demand will continue to grow in our country, the growth is slowing, step by step up to 10, 2035. 9 ~ 12. 1 trillion KWH, up to 12, 2050. 4 ~ 13. 9 trillion KWH. Architecture is the fastest electrification level ascension departments, and the industrial sector is still will be the most important power consumption departments in our country for a long time. Electricity consumption per capita in China in 2050 to reach about 8800 ~ 10000 KWH, between the level of the current Japanese, German and energy-efficient countries and the United States, such as high energy consumption between the national level.

power structure rendering & other; Lead, multi-source coordination & throughout; , wind power and photovoltaic power generation will gradually become the subject of power coal plants will reach the peak in 2025 to around 2030. Power supply installed in China will maintain steady and rapid growth, in 2035 to reach about 3. 5 billion ~ 4. 1 billion kw, 2050 will amount to about 4. 3 billion ~ 5. 2 billion kw.

as an important clean power, the economic competitiveness of onshore wind power, photovoltaic power generation have been gradually ascending trend, also will become the fastest growing power source type, than the sum of both the installed capacity in 2050 is expected to more than half of the sum is more than one third of output accounted.

due to our high quality resources area and load center presents obvious reverse distribution characteristics, and to cope with the volatility of future high proportion of new energy needs to strengthen regional interconnection each other aid, interregional transmission channel capacity in China will continue to grow, in 2035, 2050, will be for the current one. 300 million kilowatts, up to about 400 million, 500 million kilowatts. As the main to send end, northwest, southwest China and east China, central China as main side, & other; China to send & throughout; 、“ North to south throughout the &; Scale is gradually expanding trend, especially the rapid development will remain until 2035. Grid as the basis of large scope, high efficient allocation of energy resources platform, importance will increasingly highlight, is characterized by high voltage backbone network frame of national interconnected power grid will be a new generation of electric power system to play a more important role.

on the other hand, under the request of the development of saving energy and reducing consumption, in order to energy efficiency power plant model to promote energy saving electricity demand side, which can replace part of conventional power plant construction in the planning, is expected to China's energy efficiency power plant in 2035, 2050 the total capacity will reach 3 respectively. 800 million, 4. About 500 million kilowatts.

on the other hand, in the smart grid and energy under the Internet environment, the bidirectional interaction of supply and demand, motivation can be cut, but when moving load demand response in the form of participation system is running, the electric power system important resource flexibility, is expected to demand response in China in 2035, 2050 the total capacity will be reached 2. 100 million, 4. About 100 million kilowatts.

in addition, the energy storage technology is gradually mature to change electricity, transport, distribution, with the characteristics of complete at the same time, enriched the means of power balance, the load frequency control in power system, such as new energy given important contribution. New energy storage in a rapid growth in 2030, is expected in 2035, installed in 2050 will amount to zero. 500 million, 4. About 200 million kilowatts.

the current to 2025, the demand for electricity to keep on growing, new energy power generation technology is still in the stage, the energy transformation needs to pay a certain economic costs, rising cost of power system. Since then, with the new energy power generation cost and system flexibility resource costs continue to drop, the cleanness of electric power development target and economic target increasingly overlap, energy transformation will be more independent choice based on the market. Considering the environmental conditions of the internalization of external costs, 2050 annual electricity cost is about the current level of about 70%. If regardless of the environmental costs, 2050 annual electricity cost is about the current level of about 60%.

with the rising of clean energy generation accounted, power system, carbon dioxide emissions in 2025 before and after the peak, peak at about 45 ~ 5 billion tons, 2050 emissions about 18 ~ 1. 9 billion tons, the proportion of total carbon dioxide emissions below 30%. Unit capacity 2050 carbon dioxide emissions intensity is about the current level of 22% 26%.

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in 2017, Japan's new power about 7 gw, fell 24% year on year. April 17 years cut again FIT subsidies, pricing for six years, half of the price of less than 2012 import FIT system period, new power. Expected to 18 years in Japan's new power 7 gw level. Japan photovoltaic facing the situation, in 2017 and this year China's 531 policy some similar, let's take a look at our neighbors has experienced today? In Japan the world's fourth largest electric power market, too