1 according to the British 'nature' magazine published an article energy report, existing and proposed the future energy infrastructure will be the carbon dioxide ( 二氧化碳) No more than 1 emissions, greater than global warming. 5 ℃ allowed by the emissions. The study also points out that if the target is to control the global warming below 2 ℃, these emissions accounted for about two-thirds of the residual carbon budget.
man-made warming, in 2015 the global average surface temperature is higher than the middle of the 19th century is about 0. 93℃。 As a result, the climate change conference in Paris in December 2015 through, in April 2016 on the Paris agreement signed in New York, its long-term goal is to make the global average temperature rise control in less than pre-industrial level 2 ℃, and try to limit temperature rise shall not exceed the pre-industrial level 1. 5℃。 To this end, the world must make concerted efforts to limit warming to transition to net zero emissions by the middle of the century. But, at the present stage of economic development and industrialization still has brought the fossil fuel energy infrastructure expansion.
this time, the university of California, irvine, the team used existing and planned by the end of 2018 ( Planning, approved or under construction) Fossil fuel energy infrastructure database, estimation of CO2 emissions in the future. They found that if the proposed power plant is built, and the energy infrastructure continues to run it according to the past, so they produce a total of 846 billion tons of CO2 emissions.
the team believes that if there is no negative emissions or carbon capture storage technology, requires a complete ban on using all new CO2 emissions equipment, we can only reach global warming at most 1. The target of 5 ℃. This will involve many or most of the fossil fuel power stations have been proposed, and the need to sharply cut use of existing energy infrastructure period and running time.