Hungary's total population, about 9. 7 million people, good times back to warm in recent years, the economy, not only from the European Union countries investment, domestic demand and the trend of export is enhanced, annual GDP growth rate of 4, 2018. 0 and 94% in 2017 compared to growth. 8%, international rating agency moody's ( 喜怒无常的 s) Hungary's credit rating set in Baa3, s&p BBB, comparison for the stable economic outlook.
and general countries to promote renewable energy focus on photovoltaic or wind power project, led by Hungary renewable energy in the biofuel, local biomass energy sources industry compared with other renewable energy projects more progressive and mature, there are about 10 between the biofuel in local factory in power operations.
the Hungarian pv policy dates back to 2007, the government passed a bill (no. 389 Decree No. 389/2007) Establish KAT subsidy program to a feed-in tariff, 配合) And net metering electricity to promote renewable energy industry development.
KAT after the subsidy policy, net metering electricity price continues to drive, and the eu approved a Hungarian METAR new renewable energy plan, the plan will take effect in 2017.
and KAT, the new policy narrowed the scope of the capacity of the subsidy program. As for the capacity of more than 1 mw project bidding model ( 拍卖) Stimulate demand.
and although the New Deal approval as early as 2016 and in 2017, but in fact did not actively promote local, capacity of 50 ≦ 500 kw is FIT to compensate for the project without warning to suspend the subsidies in the middle of 2018, the first round of bidding project has yet to release relevant information.
on the other hand, in the old policy KAT approved by pv projects up to 2 gw, these projects has been extended to 2020 before the end of the grid, but despite Pipeline number up to 2 gw, but the market think local developers didn't ability will be project put into production, and low subsidy rates lead to project is difficult to obtain financing, so the market expected the actual number of interconnection is pessimistic scenario may fall to forty percent, optimism will reach seventy percent.
photovoltaic development, to the end of 2018 Hungarian pv cumulative installed capacity has reached 665 mw, 2017 - 2018 start of installed demand is relatively very hot two years of the new installed capacity of 109 mw, 321 mw respectively, these new projects are mostly approved by KAT policy in the middle of 2016 before a feed-in tariff program, and some applicable net metering electricity price of small projects.
according to PV InfoLink customs database statistics, in September 2018, after Europe MIP cancel, China started the number of components delivery to Hungary has more obvious improvement.
the installed capacity of 321 mw in 2018, and China components shipments obviously unable to meet the project requirements, from the demand for the rest of the components from MIP limit supply meet the Turkey.
in the first quarter of 2019 component shipments has reached 64 mw, the demand for its components are mostly used in KAT policy feed-in tariff for the remainder of the project.
total amount from the current shipment quantity is not much, but consider a feed-in tariff project to be completed by the end of 2020 under the condition of grid, forecast future demand for components there is room for continued growth.
Hungary with feed-in tariff policies on pv industry development, a total of about 2 gw project approved amount, however by local developers the actual execution of the poor ability and finance subsidy policy is difficult to attract investors, so think of the local market to grid pessimistic expectations about 40% in the number of actual optimism is 70%.
at present these projects should be completed by the end of 2020 on the grid, 'in the rest of the demand at present is 400 - 1000 MW, 2019 - 2020 components of quantity are also expected to continue to grow, or by the end of 2020 there will be a wave of installed.
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